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Observations

FEBRUARY 23, 2025 OBSERVATIONS

Friday’s selloff in equities came as a surprise, especially considering the week was largely a mixed bag on the economic data front. The intermediate moving...

February 16, 2025 Observations

CPI and PPI surprised higher, but markets rebounded to all-time highs, signaling risk-on sentiment. Strong data supports a 90s-style boom, with tech speculation leading. Equities...

FEBRUARY 9, 2025 OBSERVATIONS

A mixed bag out of jobs and unemployment data followed by shockingly high one-year inflation expectations ravaged markets on Friday. Trump’s tariff talk seems to...

FEBRUARY 2, 2025 OBSERVATIONS

Much like we’ve been seeing lately, a week of higher-than-expected jobless claims was followed by a much lower reading the following week. Unemployment next week...

JANUARY 26, 2025 OBSERVATIONS

Economic data was a mixed bag last week with only continuing jobless data being the one surprise to me.

JANUARY 19, 2025 OBSERVATIONS

Last week’s inflation data came in weaker than expected with the PPI surprising well to the downside as well as Core CPI coming in below...

JANUARY 12, 2025 OBSERVATIONS

Multiple selloffs in equities following strong jobs and ISM data highlights a general concern of returning inflation at a time when valuations are already quite...

DECEMBER 22, 2024 OBSERVATIONS

Hawkish forward guidance from the Fed surprised markets, leading to a selloff in risk assets. The tone going into next year is higher for longer...

DECEMBER 15, 2024 OBSERVATIONS

As expected, broad equity assets have continued to melt up and will likely remain in this trend through year end, bolstered by a near guaranteed...

December 1, 2024 Observations

Strong macro backdrop supports an S&P 500 year-end rally. Dollar, rates have peaked, and small-caps are rising. Watch jobs data ahead of a potential Fed...