Blog

NOVEMBER 24, 2024 OBSERVATIONS

  • Heading into Thanksgiving I do not expect any surprises. Ultimately this should be a relatively benign week.
  • It will be interesting to see if the PCE index can retreat to 2% year over year and whether the Fed will consider this as having met their 2% mandate.
  • The DXY has been on a tear, reaching higher than I or seemingly most had anticipated. Friday’s candle appears to have set up a blowoff top.
  • The Trump trade continues to bolster risk assets. Crypto has particularly benefitted from the election, however signs suggest BTC is topping at the psychological 100,000 mark.

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FEBRUARY 23, 2025 OBSERVATIONS

Friday’s selloff in equities came as a surprise, especially considering the week was largely a mixed bag on the economic data front. The intermediate moving...