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FEBRUARY 23, 2025 OBSERVATIONS

Friday’s selloff in equities came as a surprise, especially considering the week was largely a mixed bag on the economic data front. The intermediate moving...

February 16, 2025 Observations

CPI and PPI surprised higher, but markets rebounded to all-time highs, signaling risk-on sentiment. Strong data supports a 90s-style boom, with tech speculation leading. Equities...

FEBRUARY 9, 2025 OBSERVATIONS

A mixed bag out of jobs and unemployment data followed by shockingly high one-year inflation expectations ravaged markets on Friday. Trump’s tariff talk seems to...

FEBRUARY 2025 – WILL QQQ BE MY VALENTINE

The shaky start to the year that had many market participants forecasting a bearish earnings seasons and more downward price movement never materialized. It just...

FEBRUARY 2, 2025 OBSERVATIONS

Much like we’ve been seeing lately, a week of higher-than-expected jobless claims was followed by a much lower reading the following week. Unemployment next week...

JANUARY 26, 2025 OBSERVATIONS

Economic data was a mixed bag last week with only continuing jobless data being the one surprise to me.

JANUARY 19, 2025 OBSERVATIONS

Last week’s inflation data came in weaker than expected with the PPI surprising well to the downside as well as Core CPI coming in below...

JANUARY 12, 2025 OBSERVATIONS

Multiple selloffs in equities following strong jobs and ISM data highlights a general concern of returning inflation at a time when valuations are already quite...

JANUARY 2025 – SO GOES JANUARY SO GOES THE YEAR

The lack of a strong Santa Claus rally has many investors considering a potential top in equites. I am not convinced. Simply put, the Fed...

DECEMBER 22, 2024 OBSERVATIONS

Hawkish forward guidance from the Fed surprised markets, leading to a selloff in risk assets. The tone going into next year is higher for longer...