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Author - Nicky Jasper
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DECEMBER 22, 2024 OBSERVATIONS

Hawkish forward guidance from the Fed surprised markets, leading to a selloff in risk assets. The tone going into next year is higher for longer...
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DECEMBER 15, 2024 OBSERVATIONS

As expected, broad equity assets have continued to melt up and will likely remain in this trend through year end, bolstered by a near guaranteed...
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December 2024 – The Big Move

December outlook remains bullish: S&P 500 poised to rally, supported by small- and mid-caps, falling rates, and a peaking dollar. Watch for a crude oil...
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December 1, 2024 Observations

Strong macro backdrop supports an S&P 500 year-end rally. Dollar, rates have peaked, and small-caps are rising. Watch jobs data ahead of a potential Fed...
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NOVEMBER 24, 2024 OBSERVATIONS

A calm Thanksgiving week ahead. Watch for PCE nearing 2%, a possible DXY blowoff top, and crypto cooling as BTC hits the 100K milestone.
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NOVEMBER 17, 2024 OBSERVATIONS

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NOVEMBER 10, 2024 OBSERVATIONS

As expected, a republican sweep is leading to strong outperformance in risk markets. The S&P 500 rose 2.49%, the QQQ rose 2.72%, and the IWM...
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NOVEMBER 3, 2024 OBSERVATIONS

As discussed in prior weeks, broad equity price action will remain choppy around the top until the election results are clear. The worst-case scenario would...
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OCTOBER 27, 2024 OBSERVATIONS

Broad equity price action is likely to remain choppy at the top until the election unless the national polling averages start to reflect what prediction...
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October 20, 2024 Observations

Bullish on risk assets with strong economic data. Oil, rates, and dollar may drop. Trump's lead grows, boosting markets. Mid- and small-cap equities gaining momentum.
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